Publications and Presentations


Mobility network modeling explains higher SARS-CoV-2 infection rates among disadvantaged groups and informs reopening strategies. medRxiv. Chang S, Pierson E, Koh PW, Gerardin J, Redbird B, Grusky D, Leskovec J (2020)

Immune life history, vaccination, and the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 over the next five yearsScience. Saad-Roy C, Wagner C, Baker R, Morris S, Farrar J, Graham A, Levin S, Mina M, Metcalf J, Grenfell B (2020)

Epidemiology and transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in two Indian states. Science. Laxminarayan R, Wahl B, Reddy Dudala S, Gopal K, Mohan C, Neelima S, Jawahar Reddy KS, Radhakrishnan J, Lewnard J (2020)

Cocooning is essential to relaxing social distancing. medRxiv. Wang X, Du Z, Huang G, Pasco R, Fox S, Galvani A, Pignone M, Johnston SC, Meyers L (2020)

Impact of Social Distancing Measures on COVID-19 Healthcare Demand in Central Texas. medRxiv. Wang X, Pasco R, Du Z, Petty M, Fox S, Galvani A, Pignone M, Johnston SC, Meyers L (2020)

The imperative for universal healthcare to curtail the COVID-19 outbreak in the USA. EClinicalMedicine. Galvani A, Parpia A, Pandey A, Zimmer C, Kahn J, Fitzpatrick M (2020)

COVID-19 on the African Continent. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. Wells C, Stearns J, Lutumba P, Galvani A (2020)

Proactive social distancing mitigates COVID-19 outbreaks within a month across 58 mainland China cities. medRxiv. Du Z, Xu X, Wang L, Fox S, Cowling B, Galvani A, Meyers L (2020)

Temporal estimates of case-fatality rate for COVID-19 outbreaks in Canada and the United States. CMAJ. Abdollahi E, Champredon D, Langley J, Galvani A, Moghadas S (2020)

Projecting the demand for ventilators at the peak of the COVID-19 outbreak in the USA. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. Wells C, Fitzpatrick M, Sah P, Shoukat A, Pandey A, El-Sayed A, Singer B, Moghadas S, Galvani A (2020) 

Projecting demand for critical care beds during COVID-19 outbreaks in Canada. CMAJ, 192(19):E489-496. Shoukat A, Wells C, Langley J, Singer B, Galvani A, Moghadas S (2020)

Implementation of Syringe Services Programs to Prevent Human Immunodeficiency Virus Transmission in Rural Counties in the United States: A Modeling Study. Clinical Infectious Diseases, 70(6):1096-1102. Goedel W, King M, Lurie M, Galea S, Townsend J, Galvani A, Friedman S, Marshall B (2020)

Projecting hospital utilization during the COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States. PNAS, 117(16):9122-9126. Moghadas S, Shoukat A, Fitzpatrick M, Wells C, Sah P, Pandey A, Sachs J, Wang Z, Meyers L, Singer B, Galvani A (2020)

Impact of international travel and border control measures on the global spread of the novel 2019 coronavirus outbreak. PNAS, 117(13):7504-7509. Wells C, Sah P, Moghadas S, Pandey A, Shoukat A, Wang Y, Wang Z, Meyers L, Singer B, Galvani A (2020)

Pooling RT-PCR or NGS samples has the potential to cost-effectively generate estimates of COVID-19 prevalence in resource-limited environments. medRxiv. Narayanan K, Frost I, Heidarzadeh A, Tseng K, Banerjee S, John J, Laxminarayan R (2020)

Who is at the highest risk for COVID-19 in India? An analysis of health, healthcare access, and socioeconomic indicators at the district level. medRxiv. Nandi A, Balasubramanian, Laxminarayan R (2020)

Risks to Children under-five in India from COVID-19. medRxiv. Frost I, Tseng K, Hauck S, Kappor G, Sriram A, Nandi A, Laxminarayan R (2020)

Childhood vaccinations and adult schooling attainment: Long-term evidence from India's Universal Immunization Programme. Social Science & Medicine, 250:112885. Nandi A, Kumar S, Shet A, Bloom DE, Laxminarayan R (2020)

Covid-19 risks and response in South Asia. BMJ 2020;368:m1190. Bhutta Z, Basnyat B, Saha S, Laxminarayan R (2020) 

On Accelerated Testing for COVID-19 Using Group Testing. arXiv. Narayanan K, Heidarzadeh A, Laxminarayan R (2020)

Childhood vaccines and antibiotic use in low-and middle-income countries. Nature, 581:94-99. Lewnard J, Lo N, Arinaminpathy N, Frost I, Laxminarayan R (2020)

Is Gradual and Controlled Approach to Herd Protection a Valid Strategy to Curb the COVID-19 Pandemic? Indian Pediatrics. Laxminarayan R, John TJ (2020)

COVID-19: Mathematical Modeling & the Transmission Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in Cali, Colombia: Implications to a 2020 Outbreak & public health preparedness. Letters in Biomathematics, May. Mubayi A, Akman O, Banerjee M, Paredes M, Rojas J (2020)

COVID-19: Regression Approaches of Survival Data in the Presence of Competing Risks: an Application to COVID-19. Letters in Biomathematics, May. Ghosh S, Samanta GP, Mubayi A (2020)

Designing Effective and Practical Interventions to Contain Epidemics. Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, 1187-1195. Sambaturu P, Adhikari B, Prakash BA, Venkatramanan S, Vullikanti A (2020) 

Networked epidemiology for COVID-19. SIAM News. Forthcoming. Chen J, Eubank S, Levin S, Mortveit H, Venkataramanan S, Vullikanti A, Marathe M (2020)

Explaining the "bomb-like" dynamics of COVID-19 with modeling and implications for policy. CDC MinD-Healthcare Program. To be submittedLin G, Strauss AT, Pinz M, Martinez DA, Tseng KT, Schueller E, Gatalo O, Yang Y, Levin S, Klein EY (2020)

Computational challenges and opportunities for forecasting epidemic dynamics using network models. Submitted. Marathe M, Vullikanti A, Rosenkrantz D, Ravi SS, Stearns R, Levin S (2020)

Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control. Environmental and Resource Economics. SubmittedMorris D, Rossine F, Plotkin J, Levin S (2020)

Methods for Rapid Mobility Estimation to Support Outbreak Response. Health Security, 18:1Telionis PA, Corbett P, Venkatramanan S, Lewis B (2020)

Evolution of an asymptomatic first stage of infection in a heterogeneous population. PNAS. Submitted. Saad-Roy C, Grenfell B, Levin S, Van den Driessche P, Wingreen N (2020)

Dynamics in a simple evolutionary-epidemiological model for the evolution of an initial asymptomatic infection stage. PNAS. 117(21):11541-50Saad-Roy C, Wingreen N, Levin S, Grenfell B (2020)

Staggered Release Policies for COVID-19 Control: Costs and Benefits of Sequentially Relaxing Restrictions by Age. arXiv. Zhao H, Feng Z, Castillo-Chavez C, Levin S (2020)

Commentary on Ferguson, et al, "Impact of Non-pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs) to Reduce COVID-19 Mortality and Healthcare Demand. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 82. Eubank S, Eckstrand I, Lewis B, Venkatramanan S, Marathe M, Barrett C (2020)

Evaluating the impact of international airline suspensions on the early global spread of COVID-19. medRxiv. Adiga A, et al (2020)



Uncertainty & Precision in Math Modeling to Mitigate the Threat of COVID-19. Mathematical Models on Epidemiology in Connection with COVID-19, Dept of Mathematics, Vellore Institute of Technology, TN, India. Mubayi A (June 2020)

Underreporting, Preparedness, and Silent Typhoid Marys: A Cautionary Tale of Modeling COVID Dynamics. COVID-19 Modeling Webinar Series, Indian Institute of Public Health, Gandhinagar, India. Mubayi A (June 2020)

Responding to the COVID-19 Pandemic: Role of Computing and Data Science. IIT Madras Leadership Lecture Series. Marathe M (May 2020)

Tackling the COVID-19 Crisis. UVA Research virtual panel. Marathe M (May 2020)

Computational and Statistical Tools to Control a Pandemic. Theoretically Speaking Series, Simons Institute for the Theory of Computing. Team members on the virtual panel: Moitra A, Marathe M, Vullikanti A (May 2020)

Computational Science for Real-time COVID-19 Response. ACM India Industry Webinar. Marathe M (Apr 2020)

Recommendations for Improving Science During Crisis. AAAS Annual Meeting. Colwell R (Feb 2020)